Difference between revisions of "Data distribution"
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Most phenomena we can observe follow a normal distribution. The fact that many do not want this to be true is I think associated to the fact that it makes us assume that the world is not complex, which is counterintuitive to many. While I believe that the world can be complex, there are many natural laws that explain many phenomena we investigate. The Gaussian normal distribution is such an example. Most things that can be measured in any sense (length, weight etc.) are normally distributed, meaning that if you measure many different items of the same thing, the data follows a normal distribution. | Most phenomena we can observe follow a normal distribution. The fact that many do not want this to be true is I think associated to the fact that it makes us assume that the world is not complex, which is counterintuitive to many. While I believe that the world can be complex, there are many natural laws that explain many phenomena we investigate. The Gaussian normal distribution is such an example. Most things that can be measured in any sense (length, weight etc.) are normally distributed, meaning that if you measure many different items of the same thing, the data follows a normal distribution. | ||
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| + | [[File:Bell curve deviation.jpg|thumb|left|This is an ideal bell curve with the typical deviation in per cent. The σ sign (sigma) stands for standard deviation: within the range of -1 to +1 σ you have about 68,2% of your data. Within -2 to +2 σ you have 95,4% of the data and so on.]] | ||
The easiest example is tallness of people. While there is a gender difference in terms of height, all people that would identify as e.g. females have a certain height. Most have a different height from each other, yet there are almost always many of a mean height, and few very small and few very tall females within a given population. There are of course exceptions, for instance due to selection biases. The members of a professional basketball team would for instance follow a selection bias, as these would need to be ideally tall. Within the normal population, people’s height follow the normal distribution. The same holds true for weight, and many other things that can be measured. | The easiest example is tallness of people. While there is a gender difference in terms of height, all people that would identify as e.g. females have a certain height. Most have a different height from each other, yet there are almost always many of a mean height, and few very small and few very tall females within a given population. There are of course exceptions, for instance due to selection biases. The members of a professional basketball team would for instance follow a selection bias, as these would need to be ideally tall. Within the normal population, people’s height follow the normal distribution. The same holds true for weight, and many other things that can be measured. | ||
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Most things in their natural state follow a normal distribution. If somebody tells you that something is not normally | Most things in their natural state follow a normal distribution. If somebody tells you that something is not normally | ||
distributed, this person is either very clever or not very clever. A small sample can hamper you from finding a normal distribution. If you weight five people you will hardly find a normal distribution, as the sample is obviously too small. While it may seem like a magic trick, it is actually true that many phenomena that can be measured will follow the normal distribution, at least when your sample is large enough. Consequently, much of the probabilistic statistics is built on the normal distribution. | distributed, this person is either very clever or not very clever. A small sample can hamper you from finding a normal distribution. If you weight five people you will hardly find a normal distribution, as the sample is obviously too small. While it may seem like a magic trick, it is actually true that many phenomena that can be measured will follow the normal distribution, at least when your sample is large enough. Consequently, much of the probabilistic statistics is built on the normal distribution. | ||
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| + | [[File:NormalDistributionSampleSize.png|thumb|left|These five plots can easily show that is does matter how big your sample size is and that the bigger it gets the more normal distributed it will be.]] | ||
The most abundant reason for a deviance from the normal distribution is us. We changed the planet and ourselves, creating effects that may change everything, up to the normal distribution. Take weight. Today the human population shows a very complex pattern in terms of weight distribution across the globe, and there are many reasons why the weight distribution does not follow a normal distribution. There is no such thing as a normal weight, but studies from indigenous communities show a normal distribution in the weight found in their populations. Within our wider world, this is clearly different. Yet before we bash the western diet, please remember that never before in the history of humans did we have a more steady stream of calories, which is not all bad. | The most abundant reason for a deviance from the normal distribution is us. We changed the planet and ourselves, creating effects that may change everything, up to the normal distribution. Take weight. Today the human population shows a very complex pattern in terms of weight distribution across the globe, and there are many reasons why the weight distribution does not follow a normal distribution. There is no such thing as a normal weight, but studies from indigenous communities show a normal distribution in the weight found in their populations. Within our wider world, this is clearly different. Yet before we bash the western diet, please remember that never before in the history of humans did we have a more steady stream of calories, which is not all bad. | ||
| − | + | '''Skew of distributions''' | |
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| + | Apart from that distributions can have different skews. There is the symmetrical skew which is basically a normal distributions or bell curve that you can see on the picture. But normal distributions can also be skewed to the left or to the right depending on how mode, median and mean differ. For the symmetrical normal distribution they are of course all the same but for the right skewed distribution (mode < median < mean) it's different. | ||
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| + | [[File:SkewedDistribution.png|thumb|right|These graphs show you how distributions can differ according to mode, median and mean of the displyed data.]] | ||
See [https://sustainabilitymethods.org/index.php/Simple_Tests#Tests_for_normal_distribution Tests for normal distribution]to learn how to check if the data is normally distributed. | See [https://sustainabilitymethods.org/index.php/Simple_Tests#Tests_for_normal_distribution Tests for normal distribution]to learn how to check if the data is normally distributed. | ||
Revision as of 10:30, 24 January 2020
(The author of this entry is Henrik von Wehrden.)
Contents
Data distribution
Data distribution is the most basic and also fundamental step of analysis for any given data set. On the other hand, data distribution encompasses the most complex concepts in statistics, thereby including also a diversity of concepts that translates further into many different steps of analysis. Consequently, without understanding the basics of data distribution, it is next to impossible to understand any statistics down the road. Data distribution can be seen as the fundamentals, and we shall often return to these when building statistics further.
Types of distribution
The normal distribution
How wonderful, it is truly a miracle how almost everything that can be measured seems to be following the normal distribution. Overall, the normal distribution is not only the most abundantly occurring, but also the earliest distribution that was known. It follows the premise that most data in any given dataset has its majority around a mean value, and only small amounts of the data are found at the extremes.
Most phenomena we can observe follow a normal distribution. The fact that many do not want this to be true is I think associated to the fact that it makes us assume that the world is not complex, which is counterintuitive to many. While I believe that the world can be complex, there are many natural laws that explain many phenomena we investigate. The Gaussian normal distribution is such an example. Most things that can be measured in any sense (length, weight etc.) are normally distributed, meaning that if you measure many different items of the same thing, the data follows a normal distribution.
The easiest example is tallness of people. While there is a gender difference in terms of height, all people that would identify as e.g. females have a certain height. Most have a different height from each other, yet there are almost always many of a mean height, and few very small and few very tall females within a given population. There are of course exceptions, for instance due to selection biases. The members of a professional basketball team would for instance follow a selection bias, as these would need to be ideally tall. Within the normal population, people’s height follow the normal distribution. The same holds true for weight, and many other things that can be measured.
Most things in their natural state follow a normal distribution. If somebody tells you that something is not normally distributed, this person is either very clever or not very clever. A small sample can hamper you from finding a normal distribution. If you weight five people you will hardly find a normal distribution, as the sample is obviously too small. While it may seem like a magic trick, it is actually true that many phenomena that can be measured will follow the normal distribution, at least when your sample is large enough. Consequently, much of the probabilistic statistics is built on the normal distribution.
The most abundant reason for a deviance from the normal distribution is us. We changed the planet and ourselves, creating effects that may change everything, up to the normal distribution. Take weight. Today the human population shows a very complex pattern in terms of weight distribution across the globe, and there are many reasons why the weight distribution does not follow a normal distribution. There is no such thing as a normal weight, but studies from indigenous communities show a normal distribution in the weight found in their populations. Within our wider world, this is clearly different. Yet before we bash the western diet, please remember that never before in the history of humans did we have a more steady stream of calories, which is not all bad.
Skew of distributions
Apart from that distributions can have different skews. There is the symmetrical skew which is basically a normal distributions or bell curve that you can see on the picture. But normal distributions can also be skewed to the left or to the right depending on how mode, median and mean differ. For the symmetrical normal distribution they are of course all the same but for the right skewed distribution (mode < median < mean) it's different.
See Tests for normal distributionto learn how to check if the data is normally distributed.
The Poisson distribution
Things that can be counted are often not normally distributed, but are instead skewed to the left. While this may seem curious, it actually makes a lot of sense. Take an example that coffee-drinkers may like. How many people do you think drink one or two cups of coffee per day? Quite many, I guess. How many drink 3-4 cups? Fewer people, I would say. Now how many drink 10 cups? Only a few, I hope. A similar and maybe more healthy example could be found in sports activities. How many people make 30 minute of sport per day? Quite many, maybe. But how many make 5 hours? Only some very few. In phenomenon that can be counted, such as sports activities in minutes per day, most people will tend to a lower amount of minutes, and few to a high amount of minutes. Now here comes the funny surprise. Transform the data following a Poisson distribution, and it will typically follow the normal distribution if you use the decadic logarithm (log). Hence skewed data can be often transformed to match the normal distribution. While many people refrain from this, it actually may make sense in such examples as island biogeography. Discovered by MacArtur & Wilson, it is a prominent example of how the log of the numbers of species and the log of island size are closely related. While this is one of the fundamental basic of ecology, a statistician would have preferred the use of the Poisson distribution.
Example for a log transformation
One example for skewed data can be found in the R data set “swiss”, it contains data about socio-economic indicators of about 50 provinces in Switzerland in 1888. The variable we would like to look at is “Examination”, which shows how many men (in %) achieved the highest mark in an army examination. As best grades are mostly a rare phenomenon, it is not surprising that in the majority of provinces only a small percentage of people get the highest mark. As you can see when you look at the first diagram, in 30 provinces only 10 percent of the people achieved the highest mark.
To obtain a normal distribution (which is useful for many statistical tests), we can use the decadic logarithm.
If you would like to know, how one can analysis, which you see here, in R, we uploaded the code right below:
# to get further information about the data set, you can type ?swiss # to obtain a histogram of the variable Examination hist(swiss$Examination) # to transform the data series with the decadic logarith, just use log() # besides it is good idea to assign the new value to a variable log_exa<-log(swiss$Examination) hist(log_exa) # to make sure, that the data is normally distributed, you can use the shapiro wilk test shapiro.test(log_exa) # and as the p-value is higher than 0.05, log_exa is normally distributed
The Pareto distribution
Do you know that most people wear 20 % of their clothes 80 % of their time? This observation can be described by the Pareto distribution. For many phenomena that describe proportion within a given population, you often find that few make a lot, and many make few things. Unfortunately this is often the case for workloads, and we shall hope to change this. For such proportions the Pareto distribution is quite relevant. Consequently, it is rooted in income statistics. Many people have a small to average income, and few people have a large income. This makes this distribution so important for economics, and also for sustainability science.
Boxplots
A nice way to visualize a data set is to draw a boxplot. You get a rough overview, how the data is distributed and moreover you can say at a glance if it’s normally distributed. But what are the components of a boxplot and what do they represent?
The median marks the exact middle of your data, which is something different than the mean. If you imagine a series of random numbers, e.g. 3, 5, 7, 12, 26, 34, 40, the median would be 12. But what if your data series comprises an even number of numbers, like 1, 6, 19, 25, 26, 55? You take the mean of the numbers in the middle, which is 22 and hence 22 is your median.
The box of the boxplot is divided in the lower and the upper quartile. In each quarter there are, obviously, a quarter of the data points. To define them, you split the data set in two halves (outgoing from the median) and calculate again the median of each half. In a random series of numbers (6, 7, 14, 15, 21, 43, 76, 81, 87, 89, 95) your median is 43, your lower quartile is 14 and your upper quartile 87.
The space between the lower quartile line and the upper quartile line (the box) is called the inner quartile range (IQR), which is important to define the length of the whiskers. The data points which are not in the range of the whiskers are called outliers, which could e.g. be a hint that they are due to measuring errors. To define the end of the upper whisker, you take the value of the upper quartile and add the product of 1,5 * IQR.
Sticking to our previous example: The IQR is the range between the lower (43) and the upper quartile (87), therefore 44. Multiply 44 by 1,5 and add it to the value of the upper quartile: 87 + 44 = 131
For the lower whisker, the procedure is nearly the same. Again, you use the product of 1,5*IQR, but this time you subtract the value of the lower whisker: Here is your lower whisker: 44 – 43 = 1 And as there are no values outside of the range of our whiskers, we have no outliers.
Detecting the normal distribution
But when is data normally distributed and how to recognize it when you have a boxplot in front of you? Or a histogram? The best way to learn it, is to look at it. Always remember the ideal picture of the bell curve (you can see it above), especially if you look at histograms.
This barplot (at the right) represents the number of front-seat passengers that were killed or seriously injured annually from 1969 to 1985 in the UK. And here comes the magic trick: If you sort the annually number of people from the lowest to the highest (and slightly lower the resolution), a normal distribution evolves (histogram at the left).
If you would like to know, how one can create the diagrams, which you see here, in R, we uploaded the code right below:
# If you want some general information about the "Seatbelt" dataset, at which we will have look, you can use the ?-function.
# As "Seatbelts" is a dataset in R, you can receive a lot of information here.
?Seatbelts
## hint: If you want to see all the datasets, that are available in R, just type:
data()
# to have a look a the dataset "Seatbelts" you can use several commands
## str() to know what data type "Seatbelts" is (e.g. a Time-Series, a matrix, a dataframe...)
str(Seatbelts)
## use show () or just type the name of the dataset ("Seatbelts") to see the table and all data it's containing
show(Seatbelts)
### or
Seatbelts
## summary() to have the most crucial information for each variable: minimum/maximum value, median, mean...
summary(Seatbelts)
# As you saw when you used the str() function, "Seatbelts" is a Time-Series, which is not entirely bad per se,
# but makes it hard to work with it. Like that it is useful to change it into a dataframe (as.data.frame()).
# And simultaneously, we should assign the new dataframe "Seatbelts" to a variable, that we don't lose it and
# can work further with Seatbelts as a dataframe.
seat<-as.data.frame(Seatbelts)
# To choose a single variable of the dataset, we use the '$' operator. If we want a barplot with all front drivers,
# who were killed or seriously injured:
barplot(seat$front)
# For a histogram:
hist(seat$front)
## To change the resolution of the histogram, you can use the "breaks"-argument of the hist-command, which states
## in how many increments the plot should be divided
hist(seat$front, breaks = 30)
hist(seat$front, breaks = 100)
# For a boxplot:
boxplot(seat$front)
